Sunday 28 February 2016

Weekend Wrap

charts are updated

Deutsche Bank



















Analysis - selling climax? the final puking up of stock
Conclusion - not for the meek there may be a new round of VP's flying from windows soon you read here first.
Action - hold no action

P & F


next stop zero?  gott in himmel!

Bullish Percent 
Financials




the end of a weak cycle but a Bullish alert is a Bullish alert                                                                                       








Thursday 25 February 2016

Feb 25 2016

our daily breadth .....

still a Bearish Bias.

Market Breadth
Issues Number %
Advancing 101 42
Declining 135 56
Unchanged 4 2
Total 240 100
As of Fri Feb 26, 2016 12:19 AM EST
The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.
Market Volume
Issues Amount %
Advancing 98,831,713 39
Declining 139,167,854 56
Unchanged 12,546,131 5
Total 250,545,698 100
As of Fri Feb 26, 2016 12:19 AM
The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.
New Highs and Lows
Issues Number %
52-week highs 7 3
52-week lows 3 1
Total 240 100
As of Fri Feb 26, 2016 12:20 AM
The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.


Comment:

As you may have noticed I have a tendency to not make idle comments on the day to day moves of the market.  

I let my charts do the speaking.  

I was taught that any fool can make money in a Bull Market but it takes real brains to make money in a Bear.  This is where I shine.

Bonds- 30 year Bull is nearing an end
Stocks- 8 year Bull is at an end
Oil- heading to $10?
Gold - the truth lies between  $1233 US $Gold and $16,697 US $INDU.  the current ratio is 13.54 oz of Gold to 1 share of DOW.  at some point these two have to rationalize. at the bottom of the Bear the ratio is 1 share of  DOW to 1oz of Gold.

so here are the scenarios

Gold up DOW Down    $5000 dow/gold
Gold unchanged DOW DOWN $1200 gold/dow
Gold down DOW Down (in this scenario Gold retains greater or equal value) $600 gold/dow 99% wipe out of the DOW










Wednesday 24 February 2016

Feb 24 2016

$Cotton Spot



Analysis - test for sellers, double bottom, bottom of the established trading range, maybe a "piecing pattern" developing
Conclusion - the longer this goes sideways the more repair
Action - dollar average Buy Trailing stop

Monday 22 February 2016

Feb 22 2016

Silver the big picture



Analysis- Solitude (oversold), double bottom,  previous trend-line is intact

Conclusion - there may be some blood to let but the next few sessions may make the bulls case

Action: Dollar Average Buy trailing stop

Tuesday 16 February 2016

Weekend Wrap

better late than never





charts are updated


the slow motion train wreck plows on

Saturday 6 February 2016

Weekend Wrap

something wicked this way comes......

the great deflation is about to take form!


Thursday 4 February 2016

Feb 5 2016

our daily Breadth......


$SPX




the worst chart ever . resistance at 1950 support at 1850




 critical day tomorrow.



the big picture commerce and trade have ceased to function the next step will be a really really really big event!