Decemeber 31 2015

Wow!

Well that went by fast. the year can best be described in one word:

FUBAR!

December 25 2015

Merry Christmas!

opening bell...

charts are updated

BRICSA review

Brazil

 
Russia

 
India

 
China

 
South Africa

December 11 2015

our daily breadth ...........


ouch

$SPX

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	49	10
Declining	451	90
Unchanged	1	0
Total	501	100
As of Fri Dec 11, 2015 1:25 PM EST

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	129,681,209	9
Declining	1,244,583,631	91
Unchanged	341,719	0
Total	1,374,606,559	100
As of Fri Dec 11, 2015 1:25 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	1	0
52-week lows	34	7
Total	501	100
As of Fri Dec 11, 2015 1:25 PM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

Dec 2 2015

our daily breadth.........

 dah Bears!

tax loss sell should begin in earnest as we get ready to wind up the year.

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	113	23
Declining	376	77
Unchanged	2	0
Total	491	100
As of Wed Dec 2, 2015 12:00 PM EST

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	249,222,665	31
Declining	552,800,299	69
Unchanged	1,556,660	0
Total	803,579,624	100
As of Wed Dec 2, 2015 12:00 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	19	4
52-week lows	9	2
Total	491	100
As of Wed Dec 2, 2015 12:00 PM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

November 1 2015

catch up

Weekend Wrap

sorry for the delay its been a busy harvest season

full update of all charts to follow

Oct 20 2015

our Daily Breadth...............

$sp500

Oct 13 2015

our Daily Breadth............

$SPX

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	220	45
Declining	263	54
Unchanged	6	1
Total	489	100
As of Tue Oct 13, 2015 12:47 PM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	428,852,328	52
Declining	376,669,187	46
Unchanged	19,294,466	2
Total	824,815,981	100
As of Tue Oct 13, 2015 12:47 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	11	2
52-week lows	4	1
Total	489	100
As of Tue Oct 13, 2015 12:47 PM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

Oct 7 2015

our daily breadth......

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	194	78
Declining	50	20
Unchanged	4	2
Total	248	100
As of Wed Oct 7, 2015 3:01 PM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	225,606,723	80
Declining	53,229,745	19
Unchanged	2,307,696	1
Total	281,144,164	100
As of Wed Oct 7, 2015 3:01 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	2	1
52-week lows	--	0
Total	248	100
As of Wed Oct 7, 2015 3:01 PM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

Oct 2 2015

our daily breadth....

$SPX

in order for there to be a reversal of direction of trend there needs to be a 90% up volume and issues day as well as confirmation by way of several more 90% upside volume and issues to support momentum.

Waves of pessimism (bitter reality) followed by waves of optimism (flights of fancy)

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	436	89
Declining	50	10
Unchanged	3	1
Total	489	100
As of Fri Oct 2, 2015 6:04 PM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	2,249,579,408	80
Declining	548,872,766	20
Unchanged	13,936,823	0
Total	2,812,388,997	100
As of Fri Oct 2, 2015 6:04 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	4	1
52-week lows	55	11
Total	489	100
As of Fri Oct 2, 2015 6:04 PM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

Specal Interest

any doubt that we are in depression is revomed when the chart below is examined

Special Interest
$BDI

Opening Bell Sept 27 2015

hold your breathe folks its going to get ugly.....fast!

Opening Bell Sept 21 2015

Weekend Wrap.....

 1 yr Daily $INDU with potential outcome

RSI = Normal (transition)
Price = Solitude (oversold)
MFI = Normal (transition)
Stochastic RSI = Frenzy (overbought)

Analysis  -  price failed to rally back to the broken"ice line"
Conclusion - Things are very broken
Action - Sell trailing stop

$vix

Sept 18 2015

wow months just flying by.

we wait for the next shoe to drop....you must know behind closed doors the panic buttons are being hit as 555 TRILLION DOLLARS in Derivatives comes unglued and they try to ascertain who owns what and where the real asset has been hidden!

Dividends get paid out tomorrow this should be good!

Weekend Wrap Sept 11 2015

2 days til Shemitah for what it is worth

there is lots of volatile energy this time of year


 

Bearish reversal pattern Vix is about to blast off unless the powers that be have some magick left

$spx  has the potential to drop to the 1700 level based on a count of the "bullish reversal" or "Bull trap" pattern.this looks very very very ominous

Opening Bell Sept 7 2015

Bearish wedge

the next few sessions will determine the fate of the markets

Weekend Wrap

our daily breadth........

$spx

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	26	5
Declining	463	95
Unchanged	--	0
Total	489	100
As of Fri Sep 4, 2015 11:17 PM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	173,104,834	8
Declining	2,053,846,447	92
Unchanged	0	0
Total	2,226,951,281	100
As of Fri Sep 4, 2015 11:17 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	--	0
52-week lows	13	3
Total	489	100

August 3 2015

our Daily Breadth.........


the case for $gold and $silver

-demand greater than supply
-mines shutting down and production taken off line
-Bullish Percent for Miners is below 20 which is the buy range
-US Mint is prohibited by LAW to suspend minting coins in gold and silver.
  in other words; it is illegal for the US Govt NOT to bid up Silver to meet demand!


$vix

 the chart displayed above looks ominous when it reverses back up.

When JPM tells you there has been a 1 in 3 billion year event you should be battening down the hatches.

sept 2 2015

our daily breadth

$BDI- Baltic Dry Index 100 point box

August 31 2015

our daily breadth............


Special Interest

$vix

this looks like a "continuation pattern" with the potential for more olitility not less

Kali the destroyer is at the gates and there is a lot of volatile energy in the world 

August 28 2015

our daily breadth..........

Chinese signal possible sale equal to 1 trillion of US T-Bill's = hyper inflation coming to your neighborhood

the market always gives you a second chance to get out, this may be it so diligence is the order of the day look out for falling piano's!

Breadth and volume

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	476	97
Declining	13	3
Unchanged	2	0
Total	491	100
As of Thu Aug 27, 2015 11:09 PM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	3,223,498,048	97
Declining	96,711,919	3
Unchanged	3,282,758	0
Total	3,323,492,725	100
As of Thu Aug 27, 2015 11:09 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	--                           0
52-week lows	--	0
Total	491	100
As of Thu Aug 27, 2015 11:09 PM SPX point and figure Critical sessions ahead  there a long way to get back above the "Ice Line"

August 26 2015

"the hardest thing in the world to be is right.
the second hardest thing to be is to be right ....and remain patient!"
- anonymous

holy crap
 

$VIX
whoa Nelly!   when JPM admits to the press that they are seeing 1in 3 BILLION year events in the bond market I get very very cautious.

















$spx


the end of the cycle with conviction

August 17 2015

our daily Breadth......

WWIII rods from god?

False Flag?

any wagers?

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	377	77
Declining	107	22
Unchanged	7	1
Total	491	100
As of Mon Aug 17, 2015 9:54 PM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	1,216,832,750	75
Declining	390,624,978	24
Unchanged	25,132,728	2
Total	1,632,590,456	100
As of Mon Aug 17, 2015 9:54 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	28	6
52-week lows	12	2
Total	491	100
As of Mon Aug 17, 2015 9:54 PM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

Special Interest: BRICSA

big analysis tool change coming next week

Brazil

 

Analysis -"when the blood is running in the streets it is time to buy" - Sir John Templeton

the aftermath of the Olympics,  possible piercing patten

Conclusion - trend line has not been broken but  an entry point is open

Action - Buy/accumulate trailing stop (not for the meek)

Russia

Analysis- L1 Grid Solitude (oversold) dead cat bounce will be followed by test for lows

Conclusion-testing trading range parameters

Action-Sell trailing stop

India

500 point box

Analysis- L1 Grid Frenzy (overbought), completed elliot 5 wave pattern and point and figure bearish reversal pattern

Conclusion: mixed signals do not provide clear direction

Action Hold no action

China

Analysis trend line break consolidation pattern , cup and handle pattern

Conclusion reversal from support would be positive

Action: sell trailing stop

South Africa

$ZADOW

Analysis L1 Grid normal (transition)

Conclusion lack of follow through indicates weakness

Action: sell trailing stop

August 10 2015

our daily breadth........

$SPX

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	423	86
Declining	68	14
Unchanged	--	0
Total	491	100
As of Mon Aug 10, 2015 2:43 PM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	1,141,502,133	90
Declining	120,341,065	10
Unchanged	0	0
Total	1,261,843,198	100
As of Mon Aug 10, 2015 2:43 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	33	7
52-week lows	4	1
Total	491	100
As of Mon Aug 10, 2015 2:43 PM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

August 7 2015

Special Interest: BRICSA

big analysis tool change coming next week

Brazil

 

Analysis -"when the blood is running in the streets it is time to buy" - Sir John Templeton

the aftermath of the Olympics,  possible piercing patten

Conclusion - trend line has not been broken but  an entry point is open

Action - Buy/accumulate trailing stop (not for the meek)

Russia

Analysis- L1 Grid Solitude (oversold) dead cat bounce will be followed by test for lows

Conclusion-testing trading range parameters

Action-Sell trailing stop

India

500 point box

Analysis- L1 Grid Frenzy (overbought), completed elliot 5 wave pattern and point and figure bearish reversal pattern

Conclusion: mixed signals do not provide clear direction

Action Hold no action

China

Analysis trend line break consolidation pattern , cup and handle pattern

Conclusion reversal from support would be positive

Action: sell trailing stop

South Africa

$ZADOW

Analysis L1 Grid normal (transition)

Conclusion lack of follow through indicates weakness

Action: sell trailing stop

Gold Ratios
$Gold / $INDU  16.15
$Gold / $SPX      1.92
$Wtic / $Gold    48.77

July 30 2015

our daily Breadth...........

Symbol: $SPX 
New feature gold ratios listed below breadth analysis

lack of follow through is not a good sign

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	263	54
Declining	221	45
Unchanged	7	1
Total	491	100
As of Fri Jul 31, 2015 12:02 AM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	936,619,722	44
Declining	1,168,290,639	55
Unchanged	18,207,137	1
Total	2,123,117,498	100
As of Fri Jul 31, 2015 12:02 AM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	33	7
52-week lows	8	2
Total	491	100
As of Fri Jul 31, 2015 12:02 AM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

Gold Ratios 

$INDU 16.33 oz per share

$SPX      1.94 oz per share

$WTIC 22.44 barrel per oz

July 28 2015

our daily Breadth..

welcome to the real world China! I feel sorry for the farmers that bet the ranch.


 in order for there to be a reversal of trend there has to be a 90% upside day this may be it follow through tomorrow will be critical

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	424	86
Declining	64	13
Unchanged	3	1
Total	491	100
As of Tue Jul 28, 2015 10:37 PM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	2,189,593,135	88
Declining	273,945,778	11
Unchanged	33,855,335	1
Total	2,497,394,248	100
As of Tue Jul 28, 2015 10:37 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	13	3
52-week lows	14	3
Total	491	100
As of Tue Jul 28, 2015 10:37 PM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

 

July 26 2015

weekend wrap up

ok added some new features to the blog

- terms and use to protect myself
- donate to pay myself
- contact so you can contact myself
- rearranged analysis pages so we get a better view of the big picture at a glance

if you see any spelling errors whacky format etc drop me a line if you a particular instrument you would like an analysis of please contact me


Model portfolio returns
starting value July, 2010 $121,000
       acb             closing        increase     % return      cash

$153,219.60

$188,845.87

+$33,365.70

+21.78%

$2260

July 24 2015

our daily Breadth..........

Bears continue to control the environment.

$SPX

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	126	26
Declining	361	73
Unchanged	5	1
Total	492	100
As of Fri Jul 24, 2015 12:47 PM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	280,419,756	27
Declining	736,832,712	72
Unchanged	4,288,283	0
Total	1,021,540,751	100
As of Fri Jul 24, 2015 12:47 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	12	2
52-week lows	50	10
Total	492	100
As of Fri Jul 24, 2015 12:47 PM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

bad break for gold

great time for accumulators

our strategy was to place trailing stop in and out to gain entry in a difficult environment

July 22 2015

our daily Breadth.........

the study of breadth and volume are critical to the understanding the general health of Mr. Market
below we have an example of a :schizophrenic" mind set

Remember before there can be a reversal of trend there must be a 90 % upside issues and volume

by doing charts weekly we get a feel for the markets moods.  then we apply Modified Wyckoff analysis to determine high probability outcomes.

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	266	54
Declining	221	45
Unchanged	5	1
Total	492	100
As of Thu Jul 23, 2015 1:22 AM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	1,008,474,330	40
Declining	1,508,684,871	60
Unchanged	17,199,574	1
Total	2,534,358,775	100
As of Thu Jul 23, 2015 1:22 AM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	33	7
52-week lows	47	10
Total	492	100
As of Thu Jul 23, 2015 1:22 AM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

July 20 2015

our daily breadth..........

charts updated breadth analysis to follow

July 13 2015

Weekend wrap up


eeep!



China down
Bonds down
oil down
gold down
Dow down

July 8 2015

our daily Breadth.........

$SPX

as per our previous post we have 90% down volume and Issues

think maybe the Chinese hackers shut down the NYSE so no one could sell Chinese Blue Chips?

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	15	3
Declining	475	97
Unchanged	2	0
Total	492	100
As of Thu Jul 9, 2015 1:26 AM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	51,577,372	2
Declining	2,157,098,794	97
Unchanged	6,052,656	0
Total	2,214,728,822	100
As of Thu Jul 9, 2015 1:26 AM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	2	0
52-week lows	29	6
Total	492	100
As of Thu Jul 9, 2015 1:26 AM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

July 7 2015

our daily breadth.........

$SPX
in order for there to be a reversal we need an 90% upside day!

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	384	78
Declining	108	22
Unchanged	1	0
Total	493	100
As of Tue Jul 7, 2015 9:14 PM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	1,597,291,850	62
Declining	969,586,595	38
Unchanged	0	0
Total	2,566,878,445	100
As of Tue Jul 7, 2015 9:14 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	13	3
52-week lows	52	11
Total	493	100
As of Tue Jul 7, 2015 9:14 PM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

the chart
weekly P&F definite break the battle line is the 2050 level 




50 point box

July 4 2015

Happy "time to realize you are a slave day"our founding fathers would be proud of the mess we have made for ourselves!


daily breadth.........

Dah Bears!

June 30 2015

our daily breadth...........

90% reversal rule- in order for there to be a change of trend there has to be a 90% up volume and 90% up issues in order to change the trend.  Bear markets are waves of pessimism followed by waves of optimism

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	366	74
Declining	122	25
Unchanged	7	1
Total	495	100
As of Tue Jun 30, 2015 10:49 AM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	273,226,214	67
Declining	130,298,912	32
Unchanged	1,743,948	0
Total	405,269,074	100
As of Tue Jun 30, 2015 10:49 AM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	--	0
52-week lows	15	3
Total	495	100
As of Tue Jun 30, 2015 10:49 AM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

June 29 2015

our daily breadth....

Dah Bears!
well not much breadth but a lot of blood.

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	7	1
Declining	489	99
Unchanged	--	0
Total	496	100
As of Mon Jun 29, 2015 11:19 PM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	33,374,781	1
Declining	2,220,109,293	99
Unchanged	0	0
Total	2,253,484,074	100
As of Mon Jun 29, 2015 11:19 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	1	0
52-week lows	26	5
Total	496	100
As of Mon Jun 29, 2015 11:19 PM broke throu the "ice"line now comes the struggle to get price back above the break line.   $BPSPX  Bullish Percent

June 28 2015

Special Interest

$BSE
Bombay Index 500 point box remove the day to day noise and focus in on the real story

Analysis: 4 th wave , bearish reversal pattern

Conclusion: nerves of steel required if this breaks out to the upside it will move quickly and complete wave 5

Action: buy trailing stop

Our daily Breadth..........

the bears!

Market Breadth

Issues	Number	%
Advancing	127	26
Declining	364	73
Unchanged	5	1
Total	496	100
As of Thu Jun 25, 2015 9:37 PM EDT

The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.

Market Volume

Issues	Amount	%
Advancing	499,342,326	27
Declining	1,359,536,395	72
Unchanged	21,936,972	1
Total	1,880,815,693	100
As of Thu Jun 25, 2015 9:37 PM

The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.

New Highs and Lows

Issues	Number	%
52-week highs	17	3
52-week lows	17	3
Total	496	100
As of Thu Jun 25, 2015 9:37 PM

The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

Stock Maret Trends Online

where we are at .....the big picture

we're back!

$INDU
250 point box


Analysis L1 Grid = Frenzy (overbought)
Conclusion: stretched and overdue for a pullback
Action: place trailing stop


500 point box

Analysis: L1 grid = Frenzy (overbought) also completion of 3rd wave Elliot count
Conclusion: the trend is your friend till its not
Action: trailing stop out

Bullish Percent
 the percentage of companies giving a buy signal well into the :Bear" range




Analysis: sell zone end of cycle
Conclusion: still time to prepare a campaign to the bear side
Action: Sell  trailing stop in