Saturday 30 July 2016

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Weekend Wrap July 30 2016

relative quite this week............that wont last long!



Frontrunning: July 29

  • Yen, bond yields rise as Bank of Japan action underwhelms (Reuters); Bank of Japan Takes Modest Easing Action (WSJ)
  • Hong Kong shares end lower as BOJ disappointment sweeps Asia (Reuters)
  • Accepting White House nomination, Clinton offers 'clear-eyed' vision (Reuters)
  • Two Conventions, Two Distinct World Views (WSJ)
  • Democrats Emphasize American Exceptionalism at Convention (BBG)
  • Clinton’s Image Among Democrats at a Historic Low (WSJ)
courtesy Zero Hedge

Thursday 28 July 2016

July 28 2016

our daily breadth....

relative equilibrium as the stage for chaos is set and we move towards the outer wall of the Hurricane that was started in 2008.



$spx
Market Breadth
Issues Number %
Advancing 287 58
Declining 203 41
Unchanged 7 1
Total 497 100
As of Thu Jul 28, 2016 11:54 PM EDT
The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.
Market Volume
Issues Amount %
Advancing 1,107,906,581 50
Declining 1,045,581,696 47
Unchanged 66,549,998 3
Total 2,220,038,275 100
As of Thu Jul 28, 2016 11:54 PM
The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.
New Highs and Lows
Issues Number %
52-week highs 35 7
52-week lows -- 0
Total 497 100
As of Thu Jul 28, 2016 11:54 PM
The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

Wednesday 27 July 2016

July 27 2016

our daily breadth.....

balance more or less


$spx
Market Breadth
Issues Number %
Advancing 114 48
Declining 117 49
Unchanged 9 4
Total 240 100
As of Wed Jul 27, 2016 11:18 AM EDT
The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.
Market Volume
Issues Amount %
Advancing 27,645,197 50
Declining 26,352,717 48
Unchanged 1,336,398 2
Total 55,334,312 100
As of Wed Jul 27, 2016 11:18 AM
The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.
New Highs and Lows
Issues Number %
52-week highs 10 4
52-week lows -- 0
Total 240 100
As of Wed Jul 27, 2016 11:19 AM
The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

Monday 25 July 2016

July 25 2016

our daily Breadth.............

 the game goes on 

tough to write about something so obviously rigged but with yields so low the money has to flow somewhere



Market Breadth
Issues Number %
Advancing 122 25
Declining 364 73
Unchanged 11 2
Total 497 100
As of Mon Jul 25, 2016 11:38 AM EDT
The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.
Market Volume
Issues Amount %
Advancing 165,361,779 27
Declining 419,683,862 69
Unchanged 23,256,476 4
Total 608,302,117 100
As of Mon Jul 25, 2016 11:38 AM
The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.
New Highs and Lows
Issues Number %
52-week highs 22 4
52-week lows -- 0
Total 497 100
As of Mon Jul 25, 2016 11:38 AM
The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

Saturday 23 July 2016

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july 23 2016 Weekend Wrap

where we are at.....

- munich got in himmel
- nice merde
- everywhere else wtf none of it and i mean noe of it makes any sense at all

but in the mean time you have to play

Saturday 16 July 2016

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Analysis - a clear pattern emerging among the broader indices the "thesis, anti-thesis, synthesis, disillusion, forlorn hope, despair" cycle. we are at or near the extreme of the "forlorn hope" stage before descending into "despair"



Conclusion - rsi and cash flows and bearishly configured



Action - sell trailing stop

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Analysis - at resistance perhaps a minor broadened top and a chance to buy the dip as price consolidates (?) before moving up. RSI is Bullishly configured



Conclusion - all the elements exist for a pullback



Action -Hold trailing stop

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Analysis - flight to safety, transition patterns



Conclusion - transition from Bull to Bear



Action - Sell trailing stop

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Analysis - consolidating pattern and bullish pennant



Conclusion - Bullish bias and set up



Action -  Buy trailing stop

Friday 15 July 2016

July 15 2016 Weekend Wrap

holy crap!

- 5 Police Officers shot  Texas shooting, Missouri shooting, Georgia shooting, Tennessee shooting
- Paris Islamic Terrorist truck attack 70 killed 100 injured
- mean while the SP 500 just hit a new high?? wtf

Wednesday 13 July 2016

July 13 2016

Our Daily Breadth.....



The delusion of religion is a necessary evil; some men do not know how to be moral absent the fear of retribution after death by a 'god'. The problem is that modern religions are themselves (mostly) immoral!


Late Entry

a state equilibrium.

Market Breadth
Issues Number %
Advancing 252 51
Declining 244 49
Unchanged 1 0
Total 497 100
As of Thu Jul 14, 2016 2:45 AM EDT
The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.
Market Volume
Issues Amount %
Advancing 950,701,778 49
Declining 978,441,579 51
Unchanged 639,883 0
Total 1,929,783,240 100
As of Thu Jul 14, 2016 2:45 AM
The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.
New Highs and Lows
Issues Number %
52-week highs 54 11
52-week lows -- 0
Total 497 100
As of Thu Jul 14, 2016 2:45 AM
The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

Sunday 10 July 2016

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Analysis - WTF the world is coming apart at the seams and volatility has collapsed?



Conclusion - this is the Bears favorite time of year to raid the "picnic basket".




Action - Buy volatility Sell Risk

07 10 2016 Weekend Wrap

the Big Picture......

- Black Lives Splatters
- Clinton Walks
- Soros migrant invasion
- Silver, Gold and Bitcoin
- China
- Russia


and then there is Trump why n talk about the assassination attempt ?

Friday 8 July 2016

July 8 2016

Our Daily Breadth.....

"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their money, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them (around the banks), will deprive the people of their property until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered." -- Thomas Jefferson



Market Breadth
Issues Number %
Advancing 490 99
Declining 6 1
Unchanged 1 0
Total 497 100
As of Fri Jul 8, 2016 3:15 PM EDT
The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.
Market Volume
Issues Amount %
Advancing 1,488,233,254 99
Declining 19,937,207 1
Unchanged 0 0
Total 1,508,170,461 100
As of Fri Jul 8, 2016 3:15 PM
The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.
New Highs and Lows
Issues Number %
52-week highs 58 12
52-week lows 1 0
Total 497 100
As of Fri Jul 8, 2016 3:15 PM
The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

















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Analysis - wave 5 of 7 to 9 wave collapse.  If there are any real Brits left they better pull up their socks!



Conclusion -  When the blood is running in the streets its time to Buy!



Action -  Accumulate /Buy trailing stop

Special Interest $GP/EUR






Analysis - wave 5 of 7 to 9 wave collapse.  If there are any real Brits left they better pull up their socks!

Conclusion -  When the blood is running in the streets its time to Buy!

Action -  Accumulate /Buy trailing stop

Thursday 7 July 2016

July 7 2016

Our Daily Breadth......


ok even playing field a few days consolidation before the big leg down (?)

$SPX
Market Breadth
Issues Number %
Advancing 259 52
Declining 228 46
Unchanged 9 2
Total 496 100
As of Thu Jul 7, 2016 5:12 PM EDT
The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.
Market Volume
Issues Amount %
Advancing 1,216,651,062 58
Declining 840,070,627 40
Unchanged 48,215,059 2
Total 2,104,936,748 100
As of Thu Jul 7, 2016 5:12 PM
The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.
New Highs and Lows
Issues Number %
52-week highs 35 7
52-week lows 1 0
Total 496 100
As of Thu Jul 7, 2016 5:12 PM
The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.

Wednesday 6 July 2016

July 6 2016

Our Daily Breadth......

 should I start with HOLY CRAP or WTF?

- The FBI is not going to charge Hillary Clinton with Violations of the Espionage Act we have truly lost our way!

What is the point of playing by the rules when those that claim to lead us do not abide by even minimal standards of ethical behavior?

SPX
Market Breadth
Issues Number %
Advancing 371 75
Declining 121 24
Unchanged 4 1
Total 496 100
As of Thu Jul 7, 2016 2:35 AM EDT
The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.
Market Volume
Issues Amount %
Advancing 1,744,644,529 74
Declining 597,150,210 25
Unchanged 26,665,507 1
Total 2,368,460,246 100
As of Thu Jul 7, 2016 2:35 AM
The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.
New Highs and Lows
Issues Number %
52-week highs 54 11
52-week lows 3 1
Total 496 100
As of Thu Jul 7, 2016 2:35 AM
The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.



Tuesday 5 July 2016

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Analysis - The Battle lines are drawn the next few sessions are critical.

Conclusion - Buy the dip which is coming

Action - Buy trailing stop


Monday 4 July 2016

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Analysis -  transition to a trading range demand coming back into the system

Conclusion - not for the meek

Action - Buy trailing stop

July 4 2016 Independence Day

Long Live Liberty!

Death to Dictators and Tyrants!

"Those who forgo Liberty for Security deserve neither!"- Ben Franklin

"Capitalism is the ONLY Economic system that acknowledges that all People are free to choose what they do with their time effort and labour -FREE TO CHOOSE!"

The Constitution

http://constitutioncenter.org/media/files/constitution.pdf


The Declaration of Independence 

https://www.constitutionfacts.com/us-declaration-of-independence/read-the-declaration/



The Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms

https://www.constitutionfacts.com/us-declaration-of-independence/read-the-declaration/



Sunday 3 July 2016

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Weekend Wrap July 3 2016

The Big Pictures.........

- Brexit don't think this is over yet
- Euro Implosion
- What other mayhem is occurring



Friday 1 July 2016

July 1 2016 Canada Day

Our Daily Breadth.......

continue follow through  4 days in a row we are due for a pull back

$SPX
Market Breadth
Issues Number %
Advancing 443 90
Declining 50 10
Unchanged 1 0
Total 494 100
As of Fri Jul 1, 2016 10:08 PM EDT
The fraction of the overall market that is participating in the market's up or down move.
Market Volume
Issues Amount %
Advancing 2,475,158,825 88
Declining 316,984,092 11
Unchanged 8,554,291 0
Total 2,800,697,208 100
As of Fri Jul 1, 2016 10:08 PM
The volume of today's trading that is participating in the market's up or down move.
New Highs and Lows
Issues Number %
52-week highs 6 1
52-week lows 1 0
Total 494 100
As of Fri Jul 1, 2016 10:08 PM
The number of stocks in the index reaching a new 52-week high or low today.


 

Gold / Dow - "3 possible scenarios "

I was taught that in order to understand where things are going you have to look at historical values and ratios exhibited at bottoms and tops

Historically a Bottom in the Dow Bear will be indicate by a Ratio of 1:1 or 2: 1 in other words a Bottom is indicated when the ratio between $GOLD and DOW is either one of these 2 ratios or permutation of that.


So .............
Scenario 1

Dow Down / Gold Up

Dow Holds  / Gold Up

Down Down / Gold Holds

some where between DOW $17949 and Gold $1344 lies the truth only time will tell and fore warned is fore armed.